Seagate Technology (STX)


October 29, 2025

STX: Staying Disciplined to Innovation Framework

By Steven Fox

We are raising our F2026/F2027E (Jun) EPS for Seagate (STX; $223.00; O/P) from $10.55/$13.50 to $11.05/$13.45 after the company handily beat our and consensus expectations for FQ1 (Sep) and provided FQ2E (Dec) guidance that comfortably…

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October 28, 2025

STX: First Look at FQ1 (Sep) Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Seagate (STX; $223.00; O/P) reported FQ1 (Sep) non-GAAP EPS of $2.61, which beat our $2.32 and the Street’s $2.40 on sales upside ($2,629mm vs. our $2,513mm and the Street’s $2,548mm). Recall, STX’s FQ1 guidance called…

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October 21, 2025

STX: FQ1 Print Should Highlight More Margin Tailwinds

By Steven Fox

The shares of Seagate (STX; $214.57; O/P) have now retreated 16% since hitting a record high on October 1st (including -5% this week) with FQ1E (Sep) results and guidance on the horizon for next Tuesday…

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July 30, 2025

STX: More Gross Margin and Cash Flow Momentum

By Steven Fox

We reiterate our Outperform and raise our price target from $175 to $185 as we bump up our F2026E (Jun) EPS from $10.25 to $10.55 (+30% YoY and vs. prior record EPS of $8.18 in…

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July 29, 2025

STX: First Look at FQ4 (Jun) Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Seagate (STX; $152.68; O/P) reported FQ4 (Jun) non-GAAP EPS of $2.59, which was comfortably ahead of our $2.38 and the Street’s $2.45 on solid sales upside ($2,444mm vs. our $2,397mm and the Street’s $2,421mm). Recall,…

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July 21, 2025

STX: More Wall of Worry to Climb; Raise Target to $175

By Steven Fox

We look for a healthy “beat and raise” from Seagate (STX; $148.99; O/P) when it reports FQ4 (Jun) results and outlook on July 29th (after market close). The stock still trades at only 12.6X our…

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June 4, 2025

STX: Upon Further Review, Raising F2026E EPS Some More

By Steven Fox

We are raising our F2026E (Jun) EPS for Seagate (STX; $127.23; O/P) from $9.80 to $10.25 (+30% YoY) to correct for our misunderstanding of the company’s new financial targets from its Analyst and Investor Event…

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May 23, 2025

STX: Meeting Signals the Start of the HAMR Era

By Steven Fox

We reiterate our Outperform while raising our F2026E (Jun) EPS from $9.25 to $9.80, and our target from $130 to $140 on the shares of Seagate (STX; $108.86) after attending its Analyst and Investor Event…

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April 30, 2025

STX: Demonstrates that Its Secular Improvements Can Continue

By Steven Fox

We raise F2025/F2026E (Jun) EPS for Seagate (STX; $81.60; O/P) from $7.55/$8.80 to $7.90/$9.25 after the company’s healthy “beat and raise”, supporting the idea that cloud data center spending, and associated demand for high capacity…

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April 29, 2025

STX: First Look at FQ3 (Mar) Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Seagate (STX; $81.60; O/P) reported FQ3 (Mar) non-GAAP EPS of $1.90, which was comfortably ahead of our $1.75 and the Street’s $1.74 on sales of $2,160mm (vs. our $2,138mm and the Street’s $2,124mm). Recall, STX’s…

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April 16, 2025

STX: Can Pricing Power Offset Tariff Pressures?

By Steven Fox

Our recent checks suggest Seagate (STX; $72.00; O/P) highlights that near term demand for its “core” mass capacity hard disk drives (HDDs) is holding up well into the June quarter (80-85% of sales), when it…

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February 13, 2025

STX: Internalizes Key Portion of Supply Chain

By Steven Fox

This morning, Seagate (STX; $101.40; O/P) announced it reached an agreement to acquire Intevac (IVAC; $4.04; NR), which is a supplier of thin-film processing technology and manufacturing systems that are utilized in the production of…

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January 27, 2025

STX: CFO Call Reinforces Tech Driven Margin Story

By Steven Fox

We reiterate our Outperform and $130 target on the shares of Seagate (STX; $103.95; O/P) after hosting an investor call on Friday (1/24) for CFO Gianluca Romano and Shanye Hudson, SVP, IR and Treasury to…

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January 22, 2025

STX: Gross Margin Opportunity Continues to Shine Through

By Steven Fox

We reiterate our Outperform and $130 target on the shares of Seagate (STX; $101.25) after it reported a better-than-expected FQ2 (Dec) EPS, which importantly was driven by much better-than-expected gross margins. STX also provided FQ3E…

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January 21, 2025

STX: First Look at FQ2 (Dec) Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Seagate (STX; $101.25; O/P) reported FQ2 (Dec) non-GAAP EPS of $2.03, which beat our $1.87 and the Street’s $1.88 on the back of much better-than-expected gross margins as sales of $2,325mm compared to our $2,313mm…

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