Seagate Technology (STX)


March 1, 2023

STX: Lightens the Opex Load a Bit More

By Steven Fox

Yesterday, Luminar Technologies (LAZR; $8.95; NR) announced it acquired Seagate’s (STX; $64.56; E/W) LiDAR (Light Detection and Ranging) program back in January. Terms of the transaction were not announced and this agreement was not previously…

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January 26, 2023

STX: A Shorter Route to Production Re-Start Than We Assumed

By Steven Fox

We raise F2023/F2024E (Jun) EPS for Seagate (STX; $62.25; E/W) from $1.35/$3.20 to $1.70/$3.85 after FQ2 (Dec) EPS of $0.16 exceeded our $0.07 and the Street’s $0.09, on slightly better sales and operating margins as…

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January 23, 2023

STX: Too Early to Think Cyclical Recovery into FQ2 Print

By Steven Fox

The shares of Seagate (STX; $63.23; E/W) have now surged 26% just since late-December lows (including +7% today) to levels last seen in mid-September, ahead of the company’s FQ2 (Dec) results and outlook on Wednesday…

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October 26, 2022

A Historically Bad Downturn

By Steven Fox

We reduce F2023/F2024E (Jun) EPS for Seagate (STX; $53.64; E/W) from $3.60/$7.15 to $1.35/$3.20 after it produced an FQ1 (Sept) “miss and lower”, suspended share repurchases (after buying $408mm of stock in FQ1), increased debt…

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October 26, 2022

First Look at FQ1 (Sep) Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Seagate (STX; $58.00; E/W) reported FQ1 (Sep) non-GAAP EPS of $0.48, which was well below our $0.65 and the Street’s $0.71 on sales of $2,035mm (vs. our $2,050mm and the Street’s $2,101mm). Recall, STX cut…

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October 20, 2022

Expecting Another Shoe to Drop

By Steven Fox

We think there is another “shoe to drop” on Street estimates for Seagate (STX; $54.19; E/W) with its FQ1 (Sept) results and outlook, scheduled for next Wednesday (10/26 before market), even after a recent series…

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September 1, 2022

Knife Falls Further

By Steven Fox

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August 11, 2022

10-K Tidbits

By Steven Fox

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July 18, 2022

Some FQ4E EPS Preview Thoughts

By Steven Fox

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April 20, 2022

Some More EPS Downside Ahead?

By Steven Fox

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