Micron Technology (MU)


March 13, 2024

MU: All Eyes on Pricing and Mix into FQ2 Print

By Steven Fox

Micron (MU; $93.15; E/W) is +18% since its late-December FQ1, suggesting the Street is looking for a pretty complete “beat and raise” with FQ2 (Feb) results and outlook next Wednesday (3/20). Consensus is most bullish…

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February 27, 2024

MU: More News on the Product Roadmap Front

By Steven Fox

This morning, Micron (MU; $90.73; E/W) added to yesterday’s news on the much-discussed HBM3E front (“Advancing Its AI Case”; 2/26) with a couple of interesting announcements around its initiatives into mobile device markets (~25% of…

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February 26, 2024

MU: Advancing Its AI Case

By Steven Fox

This morning, Micron (MU; $90.44; E/W) announced it started volume production of its next generation high-bandwidth DRAM memory 3E (HBM3E) solution, which the company believes is well positioned to benefit from rising proliferation of generative…

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January 16, 2024

MU: CFO Meeting at CES Lays Out DRAM Recovery Roadmap

By Steven Fox

Last week, we hosted an investor meeting for Micron’s (MU; $82.39; E/W) CFO Mark Murphy and the IR team during the Consumer Electronics Show (CES) in Las Vegas. The meeting largely focused on Micron’s DRAM…

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December 21, 2023

MU: More Confidence in Price Recovery Curve

By Steven Fox

We raise F2024/F2025E (Aug) EPS for Micron (MU; $78.69; E/W), after the full release of FQ1 (Nov) results and FQ2E (Feb) guidance, from ($1.60)/$3.60 to ($0.45)/$6.00 to better reflect its “extreme” supply discipline, which is…

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December 15, 2023

MU: What’s the Bar into Earnings?

By Steven Fox

The shares of Micron (MU; $81.79; E/W) are now up 20% since the company reported basically as-expected FQ4 (Aug) results on 9/27, including +12% over the past nine days, ahead of its full release of…

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November 28, 2023

MU: Solid Signs of Rational Supply on Status Quo Demand

By Steven Fox

Micron (MU; $75.10; E/W) bumped up its FQ1 (Nov) non-GAAP outlook in conjunction with CEO Sanjay Mehrotra and CFO Mark Murphy presenting at an investor conference earlier this morning. Micron now expects FQ1E EPS losses…

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September 28, 2023

MU: Another Year of H2 Promises

By Steven Fox

We bump up our F2024E (Aug) EPS from a loss of ($2.60) to ($2.30) and raise F2025E EPS from $1.90 to $2.45 for Micron (MU; $68.21; E/W) after a basically as expected FQ4 (Aug) print…

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September 27, 2023

MU: First Look at FQ4 (Aug) Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Micron Technology (MU; $68.21; E/W) reported FQ4 (Aug) non-GAAP EPS of a loss of ($1.07), which was somewhat ahead of our ($1.18) and the Street’s ($1.15) on slightly better than expected sales ($4,010mm vs. our…

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September 20, 2023

MU: Finally Looking for End to EPS Cuts

By Steven Fox

After reducing our generally below consensus estimates for Micron (MU; $69.68; E/W) on five different occasions over the course of the past year, we think this may finally be the quarterly call where Street projections…

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June 29, 2023

MU: The Bottom Is In; But Not Too Excited About Upturn

By Steven Fox

We adjust F2023E/F2024E (Aug) EPS for Micron (MU; $67.07; E/W) from ($4.50)/($2.10) to ($4.55)/($3.10) after a somewhat better than expected FQ3 (May). Also, FQ4 (Aug) guidance was not too far off from consensus even with…

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June 28, 2023

MU: First Look at FQ3 (May) Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Micron Technology (MU; $67.07; E/W) reported FQ3 (May) non-GAAP EPS loss of ($1.43), which was better than our ($1.58) and the Street’s ($1.61) on some sales upside ($3,752mm vs. our $3,600mm and consensus of $3,650mm….

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June 20, 2023

MU: Adjusting Near Term Model for CAC Ban

By Steven Fox

We reduce our below consensus F2023/F2024E (Aug) EPS for Micron (MU; $67.66; E/W), ahead of its FQ3E (May) results and outlook, scheduled for June 28th (after market). Our model changes primarily begin to consider a…

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May 22, 2023

MU: More Bad News

By Steven Fox

It has now been well-reported that Micron (MU; $65.22; E/W) received notice yesterday from the Cyberspace Administration of China (CAC) that it believed its products presented a cybersecurity risk. This news comes after the CAC…

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March 29, 2023

MU: A Bottom Like No Other; Stay on Sidelines

By Steven Fox

We reduce non-GAAP F2023/F2024E (Aug) EPS losses for Micron (MU; $59.28; E/W) from ($2.35)/($1.75) to ($4.35)/($1.95), including $1.9B of inventory write downs or the high end of our $1-2B estimate ($1.4B or $1.34 per share…

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