CommScope (COMM)


February 29, 2024

COMM: Rock Bottom?

By Steven Fox

We reduce our 2024E EBITDA for CommScope (COMM; $1.27; E/W) from $1.08B to $650mm as management warned on further weakness across its business to start the new year after posting “core” Q4 EBITDA (ex-Home Networks)…

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November 9, 2023

COMM: Demand Visibility Really Hard to Come By

By Steven Fox

CommScope’s (COMM; $1.59; E/W) Q3 results and outlook “filled in the blanks” to its recent, badly timed negative pre-announcement, which was not overly surprising after prior news flow (“Another Major Disappointment”; 10/30). Specifically, COMM’s “core”…

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November 9, 2023

COMM: First Look at Q3 Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

CommScope (COMM; $1.57; E/W) reported Q3 non-GAAP EPS of $0.13, which was lower than our $0.17 and the Street’s $0.19. Sales of $1,600mm were as expected, as per its negative pre-announcement late last month (“Another…

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October 30, 2023

COMM: Another Major Disappointment

By Steven Fox

This morning, CommScope (COMM; $1.41; E/W) negatively pre-announced Q3 results and warned on its Q4E outlook. Specifically, COMM now expects Q3E sales of $1.60B (-17% QoQ and -33% YoY) and $249mm (15.6% of sales), which…

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October 3, 2023

COMM: Finally Exits Home Networks

By Steven Fox

This morning, Vantiva (VANTI.FR; €0.18; NR) announced it reached an agreement with CommScope (COMM; $3.45; E/W) to purchase its Home Networks business in exchange for: (1) a 25% stake in Vantiva on a fully dilutive…

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August 3, 2023

COMM: Downgrading to Equal-Weight

By Steven Fox

We are reducing our rating on the shares of CommScope (COMM; $3.26) from Outperform to Equal-Weight after a much bigger Q2 “miss and lower” than we expected with our recent estimate cuts (“Reducing Estimates Ahead…

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August 3, 2023

COMM: First Look at Q2 Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

CommScope (COMM; $4.42; O/P) reported Q2 non-GAAP EPS of $0.19, which badly missed our consensus matching $0.37. Sales were $1,918mm, below our $2,013mm and the Street’s $2,029mm, which led to disappointing operating profits and margins…

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July 19, 2023

COMM: Reducing Estimates Ahead of Q2 Print

By Steven Fox

We reduce our 2023/2024E “core” EBITDA (ex-Home Networks) for CommScope (COMM; $5.02; O/P) from $1.45B/$1.6B to $1.38B/$1.55B ahead of its Q2 results and outlook on August 3rd (before market). Our lower core EBITDA forecasts, which…

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May 4, 2023

COMM: EBITDA Momentum Continues

By Steven Fox

We think CommScope (COMM; $4.82; O/P) continues to execute extremely well to its “core” 2023E EBITDA targets of $1.35-1.50B (+8-20% YoY ex-Home Networks) on the back of a strategic transformation plan (CommScope NEXT) that is…

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May 4, 2023

COMM: First Look at Q1 Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

CommScope (COMM; $4.77; O/P) reported Q1 non-GAAP EPS of $0.35, which beat the Street’s $0.32 and was well ahead of our more conservative $0.23. Sales were $2,002mm, which compared to the Street’s $2,148mm and our…

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May 1, 2023

COMM: Expect 2023 EBITDA Targets to Hold Up

By Steven Fox

We see CommScope’s (COMM; $4.93; O/P) “core” 2023E EBITDA target of $1.35-1.50B (ex-Home Networks) “holding up” when it posts Q1 results on Thursday (5/4 before market). However, we are concerned consensus Q1E forecasts may not…

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March 30, 2023

COMM: Adding Needed Fiber Cable Capacity

By Steven Fox

Yesterday (3/29), CommScope (COMM; $6.20; O/P) announced plans to further expand production of its fiber optic cables where we think industry demand likely exceeds supply for all of 2023E. We note this announcement comes on…

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February 23, 2023

COMM: Delivering on Some NEXT Promises

By Steven Fox

We stick with our Outperform on CommScope shares (COMM; $8.68) after the company reiterated 2023E “core” EBITDA targets of $1.35-1.50B (ex-Home Networks) and delivered Q4 EBITDA upside while demonstrating healthy free cash flows (FCF) we…

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February 23, 2023

COMM: First Look at Q4 Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

CommScope (COMM; $7.36; O/P) reported Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.49, which was ahead of our consensus matching $0.46. Sales were $2,318mm, which compared to our $2,340mm and the Street’s $2,339mm. As per the variance table…

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February 21, 2023

COMM: Core 2023E EBITDA Looks Solid into Earnings

By Steven Fox

We expect CommScope (COMM; $8.01; O/P) to post core Q4 results and 2023E outlook that at least lives up to Street expectations on Thursday (2/23 before market). We think this should be more than “enough”…

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