All Reports


July 21, 2023

BDC: A Reasonable Path to Best Managing the Macro

By Steven Fox

We raise our target on the shares of Belden (BDC; $96.46; O/P) from $95 to $110 ahead of its Q2 results and outlook, scheduled for August 3rd (before market). The stock is up 19% (vs….

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July 20, 2023

MBLY: Looking for Less Noise with Q2 Print

By Steven Fox

We think Mobileye Global’s (MBLY; $40.63; E/W) Q2 results and outlook, scheduled for next Thursday (7/27 before market), come with “less noise” relative to its first two quarterly calls since the company returned to the…

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July 20, 2023

DELL: Tucks in Some More AI Skills

By Steven Fox

Last night, Dell Technologies (DELL; $53.65; E/W) announced it signed a definitive agreement to acquire privately held Moogsoft for an undisclosed amount, although it is highly unlikely the transaction “moves the needle” from a financial…

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July 19, 2023

COMM: Reducing Estimates Ahead of Q2 Print

By Steven Fox

We reduce our 2023/2024E “core” EBITDA (ex-Home Networks) for CommScope (COMM; $5.02; O/P) from $1.45B/$1.6B to $1.38B/$1.55B ahead of its Q2 results and outlook on August 3rd (before market). Our lower core EBITDA forecasts, which…

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July 19, 2023

European Registrations Still Solid

By Steven Fox

This morning, the European Automobile Manufacturers Association released car registration data from the region for the month of June, which we think furthers the idea that auto supply chains are becoming more predictable. Specifically, European…

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July 19, 2023

BHE: Raising Price Target Ahead of Q2 Print

By Steven Fox

The shares of Benchmark Electronics (BHE; $27.19; O/P) are +31% off 2023-lows on 5/9 (vs. +11% for the S&P 500) but still only up 2% YTD (vs. +20% for the S&P 500) ahead of Q2…

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July 18, 2023

APH: Concerned About Upcoming Guidance

By Steven Fox

We continue to view Amphenol (APH; $85.31; E/W) as a “best in class” company across our entire supply chain coverage. Nevertheless, we think the stock is vulnerable to a negative reaction with its Q2 results…

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July 18, 2023

MBLY: More Advances on the Software Front

By Steven Fox

This morning, Mobileye Global (MBLY; $43.84; E/W) announced the launch of its Intelligent Speed Assist (ISA) software, which is designed for the company’s EyeQ System-on-Chip (SoC) platform. This software, which just completed full testing and…

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July 18, 2023

DELL: Nothing Artificial About the AI Story

By Steven Fox

Yesterday, we sat in on Dell Technologies’ (DELL; $54.98; E/W) “Ask the Experts” Q&A call with Jeff Clarke, Vice Chairman and co-COO, John Roese, Global Technology Officer, and Jeff Boudreau, President, Infrastructure Solutions Group. The…

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July 17, 2023

TEL: Looking for Signs of EPS Stability

By Steven Fox

We think a now more predictable auto supply chain (40-45% of sales) can go a long way towards finally putting a floor on EPS expectations for TE Connectivity (TEL; $142.77; E/W), when it reports FQ3…

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July 17, 2023

FLEX: Stock Still Looks Cheap into FQ1 Print

By Steven Fox

We reiterate our Outperform on the shares of Flex (FLEX; $28.21; O/P) ahead of FQ1 (Jun) results and outlook, scheduled for next Wednesday (7/26 after market). We think new program momentum in Flex’s higher margin…

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July 17, 2023

ST: Attractive Risk/Reward into Earnings

By Steven Fox

We think the shares of Sensata (ST; $45.47; O/P) still look oversold to us ahead of its Q2 results and outlook on July 25th (after market). The stock is down 16% from its recent high…

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July 17, 2023

STX: Reducing Estimates Ahead of FQ4 Print

By Steven Fox

We are reducing our FQ4 (Jun) and F2024E (Jun) EPS for Seagate (STX; $61.57; E/W) ahead of the company’s release of full FQ4 results on July 26th (after market). Recall, STX warned at an investor…

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July 17, 2023

GLW: Still See More Near-Term Risk to Stock

By Steven Fox

The shares of Corning (GLW; $33.56; E/W) were -6% on Friday (7/14) on rising concerns over the prospects for broadband and wireless infrastructure spending, which jibed with our own warnings (“Reducing Estimates”; 5/24). Most notably,…

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July 13, 2023

Looking for Some Summertime Blues

By Steven Fox

We expect Q2 EPS season from our tech supply chain coverage to highlight a return of more traditional summer seasonal pressures we think are not fully reflected in the Street’s Q3E estimates in many instances. This…

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