All Reports


July 16, 2024

STX: Trends Should Look Fresh, Albeit Against Stale Consensus

By Steven Fox

We think underlying fundamentals behind Seagate’s (STX; $109.10; E/W) positive FQ4 (Jun) guidance update last month should comfortably support our and Street’s F2025E (Jun) forecasts, especially when it comes to gross margins, when it reports…

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July 15, 2024

Some Regulatory Rumblings

By Steven Fox

This morning, Bloomberg is reporting that New York City’s Taxi and Limousine Commission (TLC) is working on developing a stricter set of rideshare driver pay rules, which are expected to be introduced over the next…

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July 11, 2024

Playing a Tricky Expectations Game into CQ2 Prints

By Steven Fox

We think the “expectations game” proves more complex for CQ2 EPS season than recent quarters. On one hand, we believe CQ2 expectations were generally set at reasonable levels especially since our checks suggest a healthy…

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July 8, 2024

LCID: Some Healthy Delivery Upside

By Steven Fox

This morning, Lucid Group (LCID; $3.03; E/W) announced it delivered 2,394 vehicles (+22% QoQ and +71% YoY), while producing 2,110 vehicles (+22% QoQ and -3% YoY) during Q2. By comparison, our model called for Q2…

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July 8, 2024

HYZN: Focusing Further on North America

By Steven Fox

This morning, Hyzon Motors (HYZN; $0.34) announced it plans to cease operations in Australia and the Netherlands, while noting it remains focused on “core” North American Class 8 and refuse fuel cell electric vehicle (FCEV)…

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July 8, 2024

GLW: Raises Q2E Guide on Big AI-Related Momentum

By Steven Fox

We raise our above consensus 2024/2025E EPS for Corning (GLW; $38.44; O/P) from $2.00/2.33 to $2.07/2.40 on the back of this morning’s positive Q2 guidance update. By comparison, we note that the Street was only…

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July 2, 2024

MBLY: Some More Favorable Roadmap Data Points

By Steven Fox

The shares of Mobileye (MBLY; $27.89; O/P) have again dramatically reversed course in recent weeks and are -14% since 6/10 (vs. +3% for the S&P 500). We think the Street remains concerned with MBLY’s competitive…

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July 2, 2024

NXT: A Sunnier Story Than Street Appreciates

By Steven Fox

We believe the 24% decline in the shares of Nextracker (NXT; $46.12; O/P) since mid-June presents a major buying opportunity for investors. This should especially prove the case at 14X our C2025E EPS and 9X…

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June 28, 2024

Another Regulatory Overhang Removed for Rideshare

By Steven Fox

Yesterday, Lyft (LYFT; $14.02; O/P) and Uber Technologies (UBER; $72.44; O/P) reached an agreement with the Massachusetts State Attorney General’s office to set a minimum wage standard and offer a range of benefits for rideshare…

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June 27, 2024

MU: More Proof Points of Robust EPS Power

By Steven Fox

We raise our F2024/F2025E (Aug) EPS for Micron (MU; $142.36; O/P) from $0.90/$8.45 to a more than reasonable $1.20/$8.75, especially when it comes to pricing power and sales mix, after the company produced a solid…

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June 26, 2024

MU: First Look at FQ3 (May) Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Micron Technology (MU; $142.36; O/P) reported FQ3 (May) non-GAAP EPS of $0.62, which beat our consensus matching $0.48 on higher-than-expected sales ($6,811mm vs. our $6,625mm and consensus of $6,669mm). Recall, Micron called for FQ3 sales…

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June 26, 2024

APTV: Fundamental Concerns Reach New Heights

By Steven Fox

The shares of Aptiv (APTV; $66.02; O/P) have been extremely volatile YTD, including big swings between the mid-$80’s and a bottom ~$70, which was firmly punctured today on questions about the company’s software veracity (10-15%…

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June 25, 2024

UBER: Expanding Its Efforts on Multiple Fronts

By Steven Fox

We think a wide range of recent news flow out of Uber Technologies (UBER; $70.35; O/P) generally supports the idea that the company can continue to generate healthy operating leverage, led by its Mobility offering…

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June 25, 2024

UBER: Shows Further Commitment to Autonomous Tech

By Steven Fox

This morning, Aurora Innovation (AUR; $2.48; NR) and Uber Technologies’ (UBER; $71.79; O/P) Freight division announced an expansion of its three-year commercial pilot with the launch of Premier Autonomy, which is a newly formed program…

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June 25, 2024

CART: Recent News to Consider

By Steven Fox

We think recent news flow out of Maplebear, doing business as Instacart (CART; $32.00; E/W), provides further support for longer term operating leverage available to the company from its high-margin advertising business, albeit in the…

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