Company Notes


February 9, 2023

BDC: Raising EPS Estimates Despite Macro

By Steven Fox

We raise 2023E EPS for Belden (BDC; $89.12; E/W) from $6.60 to $6.85 (+7% YoY) after the company produced a fairly solid “beat and raise”. Specifically, Q4 EPS of $1.75 was ahead of our $1.68…

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February 8, 2023

UBER: Posts Another EBITDA Beat

By Steven Fox

Uber Technologies (UBER; $36.76; O/P) produced a healthy non-GAAP EBITDA “beat and raise”, which provided additional support for our $50 target. We think this is especially the case since we think a number of key…

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February 8, 2023

DASH: Assume Q4 Print Lives Up to Expectations

By Steven Fox

We stick with Gross Order Value (GOV) and EBITDA forecasts for DoorDash (DASH; $62.53; E/W) ahead of Q4 results and outlook, scheduled for next Thursday (2/16 after market), which seem more reasonable after going through…

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February 8, 2023

BDC: First Look at Q4 Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Belden (BDC; $82.97; E/W) reported Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $1.75, which was above our $1.68 and consensus of $1.66 on sales of $659mm (vs. our $648mm and the Street’s $645mm). Recall, BDC’s outlook called for…

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February 8, 2023

UBER: First Look at Q4 Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Uber Technologies (UBER; $34.90; O/P) posted Q4 adjusted EBITDA of $665mm (7.7% of sales), which beat our $602mm (7.1% of sales) and the Street’s $624mm (7.3% of sales). Sales of $8,607mm were ahead of our…

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February 6, 2023

LYFT: Builds on Rider Monetization Efforts

By Steven Fox

Last Thursday (2/2), TechCrunch reported that Lyft (LYFT; $17.43; O/P) is planning to unveil a next-generation dockable e-scooter along with new docking stations, which it reported is planned to start rolling out later this month….

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February 6, 2023

DELL: More Signs of Worsening IT Spending Cycle

By Steven Fox

This morning, Dell Technologies (DELL; $41.41; E/W) disclosed in an 8-K, which included an internal memo to employees from Co-COO Jeff Clarke, that it is reducing headcount by ~5% across both Client Solutions Group (CSG;…

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February 5, 2023

FLEX: Reiterate Outperform on Our Full Nextracker Review

By Steven Fox

We reviewed Nextracker’s publicly available IPO roadshow presentations and S-1 filings ahead of Flex’s (FLEX; $24.42; O/P) plans to issue 23.26mm shares of Nextracker, before an overallotment option of up to another 3.49mm shares, which…

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February 2, 2023

APTV: Lots of 2023 EPS Puts and Takes to Consider

By Steven Fox

We adjust our 2023E EPS for Aptiv (APTV; $118.68; E/W) from $3.75 to $4.35 following a “mixed bag” of Q4 results and after the company introduced 2023E EPS targets of $4.00-$4.50 (vs. consensus of $4.58). From…

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February 2, 2023

BHE: Semi-Cap Risks Come to Forefront

By Steven Fox

Benchmark Electronics (BHE; $28.66; O/P) produced solid Q4 EPS despite late quarter weakening in higher margin semi-cap equipment program demand (25% of 2022 sales), which is consistent with recent comments from other EMS providers, such…

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February 2, 2023

APTV: First Look at Q4 Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Aptiv (APTV; $114.75; E/W) reported adjusted Q4 EPS of $1.27, which was ahead of our $1.21 and the Street’s $1.20 on sales of $4,640mm (vs. our $4,301mm and the Street’s $4,437mm). However, as per the…

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February 2, 2023

FLEX: Nextracker Files IPO Range

By Steven Fox

Last night, Flex’s (FLEX; $23.78; O/P) Nextracker subsidiary filed an amended S-1 as part of plans for its IPO and Nasdaq listing under the symbol NXT. The filing disclosed FLEX plans to issue 23.26mm shares…

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February 1, 2023

LYFT: Still Room for Further Share Price Recovery

By Steven Fox

Lyft shares (LYFT; $16.30; O/P) still look attractive to us ahead of its Q4 results and outlook, scheduled for next Thursday (2/9 after market), even after considering a recent 48% YTD rally to 1.0X 2023E…

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February 1, 2023

UBER: A Potential Inflection Point for the Stock?

By Steven Fox

We expect Uber Technologies’ (UBER; $31.15; O/P) Q4 results and outlook, scheduled for Wednesday, February 8th (before market), to provide further support for our belief that its vast and expanding network is undervalued, especially given…

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February 1, 2023

WDC: Profit Hole Gets Bigger

By Steven Fox

We make further cuts to F2023/F2024E (Jun) EPS for Western Digital (WDC; $43.95; E/W), from ($1.20)/$0.20 to ($2.40)/($0.40), after FQ2 (Dec) EPS, came in more or less in line with our recently reduced estimates but…

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