Company Notes


May 11, 2023

NXT: An Excellent Post-IPO Start

By Steven Fox

We raise our F2024/F2025E (Mar) EPS for Nextracker (NXT; $35.44; E/W) from $1.20/$1.50 to $1.45/$1.75 after some healthy FQ4 (Mar) upside that came with guidance, which we think goes a long way to supporting its…

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May 11, 2023

DCFC: More Positive Top Line News

By Steven Fox

This morning, Tritium (DCFC; $1.03; O/P) offered up a positive update to its C2023E outlook, which we think reflects ongoing robust demand for its DC fast and ultra-fast chargers on top of solid execution around…

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May 11, 2023

FLEX: Healthy Beat and Raise All Things Considered

By Steven Fox

We reiterate our Outperform on the shares of Flex (FLEX; $21.14) after its healthy FQ4 (Mar) “beat and raise” even after considering the initially dilutive impacts from the recent IPO of Nextracker (NXT; $33.23; E/W)….

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May 10, 2023

FLEX: First Look at FQ4 (Mar) Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Flex (FLEX; $21.14; O/P) reported FQ4 (Mar) adjusted EPS of $0.57, which was well ahead of our consensus matching $0.51 on sales of $7,447mm that also beat our $7,231mm and the Street’s $7,222mm. By comparison,…

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May 10, 2023

BDC: More Support for Solutions Story

By Steven Fox

Last Friday (5/5), Belden (BDC; $80.76; O/P) opened a new Customer Innovation Center (CIC) in Chicago, as per plan. This is on top of its three other CIC locations in Stuggart, Germany (opened 2021), Santa…

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May 10, 2023

PTRA: Demonstrates Operational Improvements

By Steven Fox

We move our EBITDA forecasts higher for Proterra (PTRA; $1.46; O/P) after it reiterated 2023E sales targets of $450-500mm (+45-61% YoY) along with expectations that gross margins improve meaningfully in coming quarters as it ramps…

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May 9, 2023

UBER: More Delivery Growth Tactics Revealed

By Steven Fox

We think post-earnings news flow around Uber Technologies’ (UBER; $38.33; O/P) Delivery business, which we estimate generates 45% of 2023E gross bookings, provides further support for the idea that the company’s “get anything, anywhere” ambitions…

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May 9, 2023

MBLY: Porsche Announces Mobileye Inside

By Steven Fox

This morning, Volkswagen’s (VOW.DE; €153.55; NR) Porsche brand announced it entered into a strategic partnership with Mobileye Global (MBLY; $41.46; E/W) in which Porsche plans to integrate automated assistance and navigate on-pilot functionality into future…

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May 9, 2023

LCID: Making Progress Despite Macro Challenges

By Steven Fox

Lucid Group (LCID; $7.11; O/P) delivered 1,406 vehicles in Q1, which generated $149mm of revenues for the company, as it also produced 2,314 vehicles during the quarter. By comparison, we were modeling Lucid Air sales…

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May 9, 2023

WDC: More Losses Ahead

By Steven Fox

We further reduce F2023/F2024E (Jun) EPS for Western Digital (WDC; $34.18; E/W) from losses of ($3.00) and ($1.15) to ($3.65) and ($3.90) after FQ4 (Jun) targets were again below Street thinking, albeit on the heels…

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May 8, 2023

WDC: First Look at FQ3 (Mar) Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Western Digital (WDC; $34.24; E/W) reported FQ3 (Mar) non-GAAP EPS losses of ($1.37) ex-“one time” net charges of $0.45 per share, which compares to our ($1.60) and the Street’s ($1.57). Sales of $2.803B were above…

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May 8, 2023

DASH: Managing EBITDA Up Further

By Steven Fox

DoorDash (DASH; $62.90; E/W) produced some better than expected Gross Order Value (GOV), sales and EBITDA in Q1 while raising 2023E targets across these metrics as it maintains healthy investment rates. Q1 GOV was $15.9B…

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May 8, 2023

LYFT: Starts Down the Restructuring Road

By Steven Fox

The shares of Lyft (LYFT; $8.63; E/W) sunk 19% on Friday after it provided another less than satisfying outlook as part of its first investor call since David Risher took over as CEO (“Founders Step…

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May 5, 2023

BDC: Raise Rating to Outperform on Strategy Momentum

By Steven Fox

We raise our rating on the shares of Belden (BDC; $78.51) from Equal-Weight to Outperform after another much better than expected quarter on Wednesday that did not “skip a beat” for a recent CEO change…

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May 5, 2023

APTV: Raise Rating to Outperform; Hand Wringing Overdone

By Steven Fox

We raise our rating on the shares of Aptiv (APTV; $92.05) from Equal-Weight to Outperform. The stock was -8% yesterday and is 24% lower since mid-February despite a positive Q1 print and reiterated 2023 outlook,…

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