Company Notes


April 16, 2025

LYFT: Takes a Major Step Into Europe

By Steven Fox

This morning, Lyft (LYFT; $10.80; O/P) announced it signed a definitive agreement to acquire FREENOW, a European-based mobility platform that is best known for its taxi offering. The business is being acquired from BMW Group…

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April 16, 2025

STX: Can Pricing Power Offset Tariff Pressures?

By Steven Fox

Our recent checks suggest Seagate (STX; $72.00; O/P) highlights that near term demand for its “core” mass capacity hard disk drives (HDDs) is holding up well into the June quarter (80-85% of sales), when it…

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April 16, 2025

COMM: EPS Preview Addendum

By Steven Fox

Based on some further field checks, we now think we may have been underestimating risks to our current EBITDA estimates for CommScope (COMM; $3.64; E/W) from a range of new U.S. tariffs now beginning to…

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April 14, 2025

PLXS: Tariff Buffers to Consider Into FQ2 Print

By Steven Fox

We assume Plexus’ (PLXS; $121.28; E/W) relative mix of served market exposure and global footprint proves new tariffs to be less of an issue for the company relative to others we follow in the supply…

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April 14, 2025

COMM: Puts and Takes to Consider into Q1 Print

By Steven Fox

We assume that CommScope (COMM; $3.44; E/W) proves relatively less impacted, when it reports Q1 results and outlook on May 1st (before market), by a range of new U.S. tariffs beginning to impact global supply…

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April 14, 2025

BDC: More Likely Than Some Others to Live Up to Expectations

By Steven Fox

The shares of Belden (BDC; $93.48; E/W) are down 17% YTD, including -11% since the U.S. announced a first version of new import tariffs on April 2nd, ahead of the company’s Q1 results and outlook,…

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April 11, 2025

ST: Sharpening Our Pencil on Auto Market Risks

By Steven Fox

We reduce our 2025/2026E EPS from $3.10/3.40 to $2.90/$3.15 for Sensata (ST; $19.44; E/W) to take a “first stab” at our concerns that global vehicle production weakens as the year progresses in the face of…

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April 11, 2025

GLW: Optical Can Still Carry the Day

By Steven Fox

We are maintaining our 2025E EPS at $2.25, including $0.50 in Q1E, for Corning (GLW; $41.69; O/P) ahead of the company’s Q1 print and outlook, which is scheduled for April 29th (before market). This is…

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April 11, 2025

TEL: Rougher Waters Likely Ahead; Reducing Estimates

By Steven Fox

We reduce our F2025/F2026E (Sept) EPS from $8.10/$8.90 to $7.95/$8.40 for TE Connectivity (TEL; $127.35; O/P), ahead of its FQ2 (Mar) results and guidance, scheduled for April 23rd (before market). Our “first stab” to consider…

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April 11, 2025

APH: Relative Stock Price Uncertainty into Q1 Print

By Steven Fox

The shares of Amphenol (APH; $64.13; E/W) are “only” down 6% in the 5+ trading days since the U.S. announced a first version of new import tariffs, simplified on Wednesday to a 90-day pause for…

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April 9, 2025

UBER: Some More Bad Travel News

By Steven Fox

We think Delta Air Lines’ (DAL; $38.24; NR) disappointing Q2E sales outlook from this morning, which came with further warnings on broader trends on consumer and corporate travel, provided further support for our concerns that…

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April 9, 2025

NTAP: Some New Public Cloud Updates to Consider

By Steven Fox

This morning, NetApp (NTAP; $76.58; E/W) announced several new updates to Google Cloud NetApp Volumes, its fully managed, cloud-based data storage service, which aims to reduce complexity and increase performance for cloud storage workloads. As…

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April 3, 2025

GLW: OFC Highlights a More Valuable Optical Solution Set

By Steven Fox

Earlier this week, we toured Corning’s (GLW; $42.29; O/P) trade show booth at the Optical Networking and Communications Conference (OFC) in San Francisco, where we heard from Mike O’Day, SVP and GM, Optical Communications, and…

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April 3, 2025

DASH: Partnering with Domino’s

By Steven Fox

Yesterday, Domino’s Pizza (DPZ; $468.35; NR) announced a new partnership with DoorDash (DASH; $189.25; E/W), which allows its customers, initially just in the U.S. to order from the pizza delivery chain through DASH’s marketplace. Keep…

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April 3, 2025

JBL: OFC Highlights a Cloud Path of Its Own Trajectory

By Steven Fox

Yesterday, we hosted an investor meeting for Jabil (JBL; $138.71; O/P) during the Optical Networking and Communications Conference (OFC) in San Francisco where we met with CFO Greg Hebard, Matt Crowley, EVP, Intelligent Infrastructure, as…

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