Company Notes


February 14, 2024

CART: More Than Delivering to Expectations

By Steven Fox

We bump up 2024/2025E adjusted EBITDA for Maplebear, doing business as Instacart (CART: $25.40; O/P) from $680mm (2.1% of GTV) and $770mm (2.3% of GTV) to $700mm (2.1% of GTV) and $790mm (2.3% of GTV)…

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February 14, 2024

LYFT: Demonstrates Benefits of New Tactics

By Steven Fox

We adjust full year 2024E EBITDA for Lyft (LYFT; $12.13; E/W) from $350mm (2.3% of gross bookings) to $338mm (2.1% of gross bookings) after somewhat of a Q4 beat and Q1E guidance that was a…

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February 12, 2024

FLEX: Meetings Highlight Range of EPS Growth Vectors; Raise Target to $32

By Steven Fox

We reiterate our Outperform and raise our target from $30 to $32 on the shares of Flex (FLEX; $26.65; O/P) after hosting investor meetings last Thursday (2/8) in Boston with CEO Revathi Advaithi, CFO Paul…

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February 12, 2024

BDC: Sees A Stabilizing Backdrop

By Steven Fox

The shares of Belden (BDC; $83.23; E/W) surged 11% last week after a Q4 beat that came with Q1E guidance that jibed with the Street. The stock is now 33% “off the bottom” put in…

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February 8, 2024

BDC: First Look at Q4 Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Belden (BDC; $74.50; E/W) reported Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $1.46, which was handily ahead of our consensus matching $1.13 on some better than expected sales ($551mm vs. our $527mm and the Street’s $522mm). We estimate…

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February 7, 2024

CART: More Support for Its Grocery Advantages

By Steven Fox

This morning, Maplebear, doing business as Instacart (CART; $24.46; O/P) announced a new partnership with Amazon’s (AMZN; $170.53; NR) Whole Foods Market Canada to offer on-demand grocery delivery to consumers in Canada. Our checks suggest…

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February 7, 2024

UBER: Healthy Top and Bottom-Line Momentum Continues

By Steven Fox

Uber Technologies (UBER; $70.65; O/P) posted Q4 results and provided Q1E guidance, which once again highlighted robust core growth, led by Mobility, supplemented by a range of new product initiatives and geographic expansion we have…

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February 7, 2024

UBER: First Look at Q4 Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Uber Technologies (UBER; $70.47; O/P) posted Q4 adjusted EBITDA of $1,283mm (3.4% of gross bookings), which beat our forecast of $1,231mm (3.3% of gross bookings) and the Street’s $1,225mm (3.3% of gross bookings). Revenue of…

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February 6, 2024

ST: Reduce Rating to Equal-Weight

By Steven Fox

We are reducing our rating from Outperform to Equal-Weight on the shares of Sensata (ST; $33.06; E/W) after its latest in a series of disappointing financial updates. Admittedly, management’s latest Q4 EPS miss, and lower…

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February 6, 2024

LYFT: Takes Some Driver Friendly Product Steps

By Steven Fox

Earlier today, Lyft (LYFT; $13.32; E/W) announced in a blog post an early-2024 driver product release, which includes a range of driver friendly initiatives that are aimed at improving driver earnings while also adding steps…

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February 6, 2024

HYZN: Announces New Customer Development Agreement

By Steven Fox

This morning, Hyzon Motors (HYZN; $0.71) announced it signed a joint development agreement (JDA) with New Way Trucks to develop a hydrogen fuel cell refuse vehicle for the North American market. We note New Way…

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February 6, 2024

ST: First Look at Q4 Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Sensata (ST; $36.12; O/P) reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $0.82, which was below our $0.85 and the Street’s $0.86 on better-than-expected sales ($993mm vs. our $976mm and the Street’s $978mm), basically as expected operating profits…

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February 5, 2024

CART: Still De-Risked into Q4 Print

By Steven Fox

We assume Maplebear, doing business as Instacart (CART; $23.94; O/P), can post Q4 results and guidance that are at least in line with Street expectations when the company reports next Tuesday (2/13 after market) given…

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February 5, 2024

LYFT: More About the Journey or the Destination?

By Steven Fox

Lyft’s (LYFT; $12.70; E/W) Q4 print on 2/13 (after market) came with extra importance given management’s long-standing promise, since Erin Brewer joined as CFO on 5/16/23 (“And Now a New CFO”; 5/17/23), to offer up…

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February 2, 2024

UBER: Time to Play the Expectations Game

By Steven Fox

We stick with our Outperform on the shares of Uber Technologies (UBER; $66.73) ahead of next Wednesday’s Q4 print (2/7 before market) and its virtual Investor Update on 2/14 (also before market). Admittedly, the “bar…

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