Company Notes


May 8, 2025

UBER: Puts and Takes to Consider with Q1 Print

By Steven Fox

We adjust our 2025/2026E EBITDA for Uber Technologies (UBER; $83.65; E/W) from $8.325B/$10.775B to $8.5B/$10.825B after the company produced some Q1 profit upside on better-than-expected EBITDA from Delivery (48% of gross bookings or GB) and…

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May 7, 2025

FLEX: Offers Up Healthy Guidance Despite Macro Challenges

By Steven Fox

We raise our F2026E (Mar) EPS for Flex (FLEX; $37.90; O/P) from $2.85 to $2.90 after the company posted a solid “beat and raise” with its FQ4 (Mar) results, which highlighted a continued robust pace…

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May 7, 2025

UBER: First Look at Q1 Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Uber Technologies (UBER; $85.83; E/W) posted Q1 adjusted EBITDA of $1,868mm (4.4% of gross bookings), which was ahead of our forecast of $1,850mm (4.3% of gross bookings) and the Street’s $1,849mm (4.3% of gross bookings)….

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May 6, 2025

DASH: Making Major Moves from a Position of Strength

By Steven Fox

DoorDash (DASH; $190.11; E/W) announced some major geographic and platform expansion plans with Q1 results and guidance that lived up to Street expectations. Most importantly, DASH announced an agreement to acquire Deliveroo (ROO.GB; £1.75; NR)…

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May 6, 2025

FN: Healthy EPS Growth with Major New Programs Still to Come

By Steven Fox

We reiterate our F2025E (Jun) EPS for Fabrinet (FN; $220.90; O/P) of $10.18 (+15% YoY) after its FQ3 (Mar) EPS came in ahead of our modeling, including the impact from a recently issued warrant to…

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May 5, 2025

FN: First Look at FQ3 (Mar) Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Fabrinet (FN; $220.90; O/P) reported FQ3 (Mar) non-GAAP EPS of $2.52, which was ahead of our $2.48 and the Street’s $2.50 on better-than-expected sales of $872mm (vs. our consensus matching $856mm). As illustrated in the…

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May 5, 2025

SNDK: Still a Risky End Market Proposition

By Steven Fox

We remain concerned that Sandisk’s (SNDK; $34.98; E/W) exposure to consumer markets could be a limiting factor for the stock even after the company’s FQ3 (Mar) results and outlook on Wednesday (5/7 after market). Recall,…

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May 5, 2025

LYFT: Concerns Into Earnings Offset by Relative Valuation

By Steven Fox

We see heighted risk into Lyft’s (LYFT; $12.93; O/P) Q1 results and guidance when it reports on Thursday (5/8 after market) given a range of recent evidence from U.S. airlines suggesting a weakening U.S travel…

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May 5, 2025

UBER: Risk/Reward Bar Looks Tough to Clear into Q1 Print

By Steven Fox

We suggest approaching Q1 results and guidance from Uber Technologies (UBER; $85.71; E/W), scheduled for Wednesday (5/7 before market), with an extra degree of caution due to a range of recent evidence suggesting the U.S…

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May 2, 2025

CART: Healthy Sales Growth with Healthier Operating Leverage

By Steven Fox

We raise 2025/2026E EBITDA for Maplebear, d/b/a Instacart (CART; $44.35; E/W), from $1.025B/$1.175B to $1.075B/$1.225B, which implies EBITDA margins expand from 2.6% of GTV in 2024 to 2.9% in 2025 and 3.1% in 2026E, after…

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May 2, 2025

UBER: Attracts Another Autonomous Tech Provider

By Steven Fox

Yesterday, Uber Technologies (UBER; $82.87; E/W) announced a new multi-year partnership with May Mobility to deploy “thousands” of autonomous vehicles (AVs) on Uber’s network over the next few years, starting in Arlington, TX by the…

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May 2, 2025

BDC: Solving for More Full System Solutions

By Steven Fox

We bump up our 2025/2026E EPS for Belden (BDC; $101.35; E/W) from $7.00/$7.70 to $7.25/$7.75 after the company produced some healthy Q1 upside with Q2E guidance that was generally in line with Street expectations.  On…

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May 2, 2025

APTV: Executes Well but Still See Major Tariffs to Consider

By Steven Fox

Aptiv (APTV; $56.96; E/W) produced better than expected Q1 results and a more favorable Q2E outlook than we anticipated, which assumes that vehicle production schedules from the company’s auto OEM customers through June prove solid….

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May 2, 2025

COMM: Fiber Boom Continues as Growth Broadens Out

By Steven Fox

We raise 2025E EBITDA for CommScope (COMM; $4.55; E/W) from $1,025mm to $1,050mm (20.6% of sales) after it produced a healthy Q1 beat and reiterated full 2025E adjusted EBITDA outlook of $1,000-1,050mm. This is despite…

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May 1, 2025

CART: First Look at Q1 Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Maplebear, d/b/a Instacart, (CART; $39.80; E/W) posted Q1 adjusted EBITDA of $244mm (2.7% of GTV), which was ahead of our forecast of $230mm (2.5% of GTV) and the Street’s $229mm (2.5% of GTV). At the…

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