Company Notes


August 1, 2024

MBLY: Back to the Drawing Board; Reduce Rating to Equal-Weight

By Steven Fox

We reduce our rating on the shares of Mobileye Global (MBLY; $15.98) from Outperform to Equal-Weight after we badly underestimated near-term risks tied to the Chinese auto market, especially as it relates to multi-national OEMs,…

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August 1, 2024

WDC: Discipline Turns into More Dollars; Reiterate Outperform

By Steven Fox

We bump up our F2025E (Jun) EPS for Western Digital (WDC; $67.05; O/P) from $8.50 to $8.70, including an annualized FQ4 rate of $10.25+, as we also initiate F2026E EPS at $11.50 (+32% YoY), vs….

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August 1, 2024

APTV: First Look at Q2 Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Aptiv (APTV; $69.39; O/P) reported adjusted Q2 EPS of $1.58, which was ahead of our $1.45 and the Street’s $1.42 despite lower-than-expected sales of $5,051mm (vs. our $5,325mm and the Street’s $5,305mm). As per the…

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August 1, 2024

MBLY: First Look at Q2 Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Mobileye Global (MBLY; $21.00; O/P) reported Q2 adjusted EPS of $0.09, which was ahead of our $0.07 and the Street’s $0.08 on sales of $439mm (-3% YoY and +84% QoQ) vs. our $420mm and the…

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July 31, 2024

WDC: First Look at FQ4 (Jun) Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Western Digital (WDC; $67.05; O/P) reported FQ4 (Jun) non-GAAP EPS of $1.44 ex-“one time” net charges of $0.56 per share, which was well ahead of our $1.15 and the Street’s $1.18. Recall, WDC’s FQ4 guidance…

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July 31, 2024

ST: Managing Through a Transition Period

By Steven Fox

We lower our 2024/2025E EPS for Sensata (ST; $38.12; E/W) from $3.75/$4.17 to $3.55/$3.80 after Q2 results that were in line with expectations and Q3E guidance was below our and Street forecasts, albeit with a…

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July 31, 2024

UBER: Some Positive Network News

By Steven Fox

Earlier today, Bloomberg reported that the New York City Mayor’s Office reached an agreement with Lyft (LYFT; $12.14; O/P) and Uber Technologies (UBER; $64.75; O/P) that stated that the New York Taxi and Limousine Commission…

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July 31, 2024

BHE: Some More Positives than Negatives

By Steven Fox

We adjust our 2024/2025E EPS for Benchmark Electronics (BHE; $40.69; E/W) from $2.20/$2.50 to $2.25/$2.50 after the company produced a solid Q2 beat and provided Q3E guidance that lived up to our expectations, albeit with…

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July 30, 2024

GLW: Pre-Announce Loses Its Luster but Stick with Outperform

By Steven Fox

The shares of Corning (GLW; $39.74; O/P) traded down 7% today after this morning’s Q2 print and are now down 14% in just the past two weeks as its early-July positive pre-announcement “lost some of…

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July 30, 2024

BHE: First Look at Q2 Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Benchmark Electronics (BHE; $40.69; E/W) reported Q2 non-GAAP EPS of $0.57, which beat our $0.52 and the Street’s $0.51 on sales upside ($666mm vs. our $638mm and consensus of $636mm). Recall, BHE’s Q2 guidance called…

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July 30, 2024

SANM: Heading in Right Direction

By Steven Fox

We adjust F2024/2025E (Sept) EPS from $5.25/$6.20 to $5.23/$6.05 for Sanmina (SANM; $69.24; O/P) after FQ3 (Jun) non-GAAP EPS came in shy of expectations ($1.25 vs. our $1.26 and the Street’s $1.28) on some lower-than-expected…

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July 30, 2024

GLW: First Look at Q2 Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Corning (GLW; $42,68; E/W) reported Q2 “core” EPS of $0.47, which was in line with our recently raised $0.47 and slightly ahead of the Street’s $0.46 on core sales of $3,604mm (vs. our $3,600mm and…

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July 30, 2024

AMKR: Some Near-Term Margin Disappointments

By Steven Fox

We adjust our 2024/2025E EPS for Amkor Technology (AMKR; $37.60; E/W) from $1.75/$2.25 to $1.55/$2.25 after Q2 operating profits came in as we anticipated, albeit with Q3E guidance that is somewhat below our thinking. Importantly,…

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July 29, 2024

CART: Bar Appears Set Well

By Steven Fox

We think Street estimates for Maplebear, doing business as Instacart (CART; $34.25; E/W) and scheduled to report Q2 results next Thursday, (8/8 after market) are basically set appropriately. We peg Q2E Gross Transaction Value (GTV)…

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July 29, 2024

LYFT: Big Buying Opportunity Ahead of Earnings

By Steven Fox

The shares of Lyft (LYFT; $12.19; O/P) are now down 40% since recent highs in late-March, including -22% since the company’s Investor Day on June 6th, to only 7.9X our 2025E EV/EBITDA. This is despite…

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