Company Notes


July 17, 2024

BHE: Bar Looks Set Well into Q2 Print

By Steven Fox

We stick with our EPS estimates for Benchmark Electronics (BHE; $41.86; E/W) ahead of its Q2 print and guidance on July 30th (after market). Specifically, we model Q2E sales, operating margin, and EPS at $638mm…

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July 17, 2024

ST: More on the Agenda Than the Usual Quarterly Call?

By Steven Fox

The shares of Sensata (ST; $41.71; E/W) are still up 17% since announcing on 4/29 that it entered into Cooperation and Information Sharing Agreements with Elliott Investment Management and that CEO Jeff Cote would step…

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July 16, 2024

CLS: Expect Q2 Print to Prove Another Positive Catalyst

By Steven Fox

We reiterate our Outperform and raise our target from $65 to $75 on the shares of Celestica (CLS; $63.27) ahead of its Q2 results, scheduled for next Wednesday (7/24 after market). Admittedly, our basis for…

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July 16, 2024

FLEX: Undervalued Into Earnings

By Steven Fox

We reiterate our Outperform rating and $40 target on the shares of Flex (FLEX; $31.82) ahead of its FQ1E (Jun) results and outlook, which are scheduled for next Wednesday (7/24 before market). More to the…

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July 16, 2024

TEL: Looking for Healthy Upside

By Steven Fox

We reiterate our Outperform and raise our target from $175 to $180 on the shares of TE Connectivity (TEL; $159.03) ahead of the company’s FQ3 (Jun) results and outlook, which are scheduled for next Wednesday…

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July 16, 2024

APH: Looking for More Valuation Support with Q2 Print

By Steven Fox

We assume Amphenol (APH; $70.10; E/W) at least extends its recent “beat and meet” streak when it reports Q2 results and provides Q3E guidance next Wednesday (7/24 before market) given that we think the supply…

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July 16, 2024

WDC: Valuation Should Help with FQ4 Expectations Game

By Steven Fox

We reiterate our Outperform and $100 target on the shares of Western Digital (WDC; $77.22) ahead of its FQ4 (Jun) results and outlook, which are scheduled for Wednesday, July 31st (after market). Most importantly, we…

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July 16, 2024

STX: Trends Should Look Fresh, Albeit Against Stale Consensus

By Steven Fox

We think underlying fundamentals behind Seagate’s (STX; $109.10; E/W) positive FQ4 (Jun) guidance update last month should comfortably support our and Street’s F2025E (Jun) forecasts, especially when it comes to gross margins, when it reports…

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July 8, 2024

LCID: Some Healthy Delivery Upside

By Steven Fox

This morning, Lucid Group (LCID; $3.03; E/W) announced it delivered 2,394 vehicles (+22% QoQ and +71% YoY), while producing 2,110 vehicles (+22% QoQ and -3% YoY) during Q2. By comparison, our model called for Q2…

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July 8, 2024

HYZN: Focusing Further on North America

By Steven Fox

This morning, Hyzon Motors (HYZN; $0.34) announced it plans to cease operations in Australia and the Netherlands, while noting it remains focused on “core” North American Class 8 and refuse fuel cell electric vehicle (FCEV)…

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July 8, 2024

GLW: Raises Q2E Guide on Big AI-Related Momentum

By Steven Fox

We raise our above consensus 2024/2025E EPS for Corning (GLW; $38.44; O/P) from $2.00/2.33 to $2.07/2.40 on the back of this morning’s positive Q2 guidance update. By comparison, we note that the Street was only…

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July 2, 2024

MBLY: Some More Favorable Roadmap Data Points

By Steven Fox

The shares of Mobileye (MBLY; $27.89; O/P) have again dramatically reversed course in recent weeks and are -14% since 6/10 (vs. +3% for the S&P 500). We think the Street remains concerned with MBLY’s competitive…

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July 2, 2024

NXT: A Sunnier Story Than Street Appreciates

By Steven Fox

We believe the 24% decline in the shares of Nextracker (NXT; $46.12; O/P) since mid-June presents a major buying opportunity for investors. This should especially prove the case at 14X our C2025E EPS and 9X…

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June 27, 2024

MU: More Proof Points of Robust EPS Power

By Steven Fox

We raise our F2024/F2025E (Aug) EPS for Micron (MU; $142.36; O/P) from $0.90/$8.45 to a more than reasonable $1.20/$8.75, especially when it comes to pricing power and sales mix, after the company produced a solid…

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June 26, 2024

MU: First Look at FQ3 (May) Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Micron Technology (MU; $142.36; O/P) reported FQ3 (May) non-GAAP EPS of $0.62, which beat our consensus matching $0.48 on higher-than-expected sales ($6,811mm vs. our $6,625mm and consensus of $6,669mm). Recall, Micron called for FQ3 sales…

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