Company Notes


May 9, 2025

ST: Some Positive First Steps Under New CEO

By Steven Fox

Sensata (ST; $25.47; E/W) produced some solid Q1 EPS upside and offered up better than expected Q2E guidance, especially relative to our more dour assumptions on global light vehicle production, in new CEO’s Stephan Von…

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May 9, 2025

LYFT: Still Proving It Offers Attractive Risk/Reward

By Steven Fox

We continue to think the shares of Lyft (LYFT; $13.00; O/P) offer excellent value, even as we remain wary of some future top-line macro headwinds on network rides growth and mix. To that end, Lyft…

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May 8, 2025

LYFT: First Look at Q1 Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Lyft (LYFT; $13.00; O/P) posted much better than expected Q1 adjusted EBITDA of $106mm (2.6% of gross bookings), which compared to our $93mm (2.2% of gross bookings) and the Street’s $92mm (2.2% of gross bookings)….

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May 8, 2025

CART: A Surprising Change Coming at the Top

By Steven Fox

This morning, Maplebear, d/b/a Instacart (CART; $44.35; E/W) confirmed in an 8-K filing that CEO Fidji Simo, who has served in her current role for nearly four years, plans to resign from the company and…

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May 8, 2025

SNDK: Delivers Solid Upside Out of the IPO Gate

By Steven Fox

We raise our F2025/F2026E (Jun) EPS for Sandisk (SNDK; $34.97; E/W) from $2.40/$4.45 to $2.78/$4.75 after the company produced some solid upside with FQ3 (Mar) results and offered up FQ4E (Jun) guidance that was ahead…

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May 8, 2025

WDC: Completes CFO Search

By Steven Fox

Last night, Western Digital (WDC; $44.30; O/P) announced that it appointed Kris Sennesael as CFO (effective May 12th). Recall, the company appointed Don Bennett as interim CFO back in February after WDC’s former CFO Wissam…

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May 8, 2025

UBER: Puts and Takes to Consider with Q1 Print

By Steven Fox

We adjust our 2025/2026E EBITDA for Uber Technologies (UBER; $83.65; E/W) from $8.325B/$10.775B to $8.5B/$10.825B after the company produced some Q1 profit upside on better-than-expected EBITDA from Delivery (48% of gross bookings or GB) and…

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May 7, 2025

FLEX: Offers Up Healthy Guidance Despite Macro Challenges

By Steven Fox

We raise our F2026E (Mar) EPS for Flex (FLEX; $37.90; O/P) from $2.85 to $2.90 after the company posted a solid “beat and raise” with its FQ4 (Mar) results, which highlighted a continued robust pace…

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May 7, 2025

UBER: First Look at Q1 Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Uber Technologies (UBER; $85.83; E/W) posted Q1 adjusted EBITDA of $1,868mm (4.4% of gross bookings), which was ahead of our forecast of $1,850mm (4.3% of gross bookings) and the Street’s $1,849mm (4.3% of gross bookings)….

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May 6, 2025

DASH: Making Major Moves from a Position of Strength

By Steven Fox

DoorDash (DASH; $190.11; E/W) announced some major geographic and platform expansion plans with Q1 results and guidance that lived up to Street expectations. Most importantly, DASH announced an agreement to acquire Deliveroo (ROO.GB; £1.75; NR)…

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May 6, 2025

FN: Healthy EPS Growth with Major New Programs Still to Come

By Steven Fox

We reiterate our F2025E (Jun) EPS for Fabrinet (FN; $220.90; O/P) of $10.18 (+15% YoY) after its FQ3 (Mar) EPS came in ahead of our modeling, including the impact from a recently issued warrant to…

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May 5, 2025

FN: First Look at FQ3 (Mar) Results and Outlook

By Steven Fox

Fabrinet (FN; $220.90; O/P) reported FQ3 (Mar) non-GAAP EPS of $2.52, which was ahead of our $2.48 and the Street’s $2.50 on better-than-expected sales of $872mm (vs. our consensus matching $856mm). As illustrated in the…

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May 5, 2025

SNDK: Still a Risky End Market Proposition

By Steven Fox

We remain concerned that Sandisk’s (SNDK; $34.98; E/W) exposure to consumer markets could be a limiting factor for the stock even after the company’s FQ3 (Mar) results and outlook on Wednesday (5/7 after market). Recall,…

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May 5, 2025

LYFT: Concerns Into Earnings Offset by Relative Valuation

By Steven Fox

We see heighted risk into Lyft’s (LYFT; $12.93; O/P) Q1 results and guidance when it reports on Thursday (5/8 after market) given a range of recent evidence from U.S. airlines suggesting a weakening U.S travel…

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May 5, 2025

UBER: Risk/Reward Bar Looks Tough to Clear into Q1 Print

By Steven Fox

We suggest approaching Q1 results and guidance from Uber Technologies (UBER; $85.71; E/W), scheduled for Wednesday (5/7 before market), with an extra degree of caution due to a range of recent evidence suggesting the U.S…

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